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Manager, Quantitative Analysis - Commercial Credit Modeling Team

Capital One

Capital One

McLean, VA, USA
USD 197,300-225,100 / year + Equity
Posted on Jan 27, 2026
Manager, Quantitative Analysis - Commercial Credit Modeling Team

At Capital One data is at the center of everything we do. As a startup, we disrupted the credit card industry by individually personalizing every credit card offer using statistical modeling and the relational database, cutting edge technology in 1988! Fast-forward a few years, and this little innovation and our passion for data has skyrocketed us to a Fortune 200 company and a leader in the world of data-driven decision-making.

As a Quantitative Analyst at Capital One, you’ll be part of a team that’s leading the next wave of disruption at a whole new scale, using the latest in cloud computing and machine learning technologies and operating across billions of customer records to unlock the big opportunities that help everyday people save money, time and agony in their financial lives.

Capital One’s Commercial Bank has a $100B+ loan portfolio that has grown organically and via acquisitions, covering C&I, CRE, and Structured Products. On the Commercial Credit Modeling Team, you’ll get an opportunity to solve a diverse set of problems with a diverse set of tools. In some settings, you’ll leverage open source programming or cloud computing to predict credit risk loss across multi-million record datasets using statistical techniques. In other settings, you’ll get the opportunity to use completely different skill sets, blending business thinking with simulation and quantitative tools when forecasting rare or unprecedented events. It’s a team full of exciting opportunities to solve a range of complex problems, generating insights for credit decision makers.

Responsibilities and Skills:

  • Develop credit risk models for various business applications, including internal risk rating, loss forecasting, stress testing, profitability for Commercial and Industrial lending

  • Lead high impact, complex, model development projects end to end from ideation, to data processing, to methodology and model selection, to socialization and implementation

  • Partner with the business analyst team to enhance modeling and analytical frameworks to generate business insights, identify and mitigate model weaknesses, and drive changes

  • Proactively identify opportunities to apply quantitative methods and automation solutions to improve model performance and process efficiencies

  • Collaborate with implementation and data infrastructure team to build cloud-based solutions for model deployment, monitoring, and maintenance

  • Work effectively with challenge functions to ensure prompt and comprehensive support for model governance

Expertise in quantitative analysis is central to our success in all markets. Our modelers thrive in a culture of mutual respect, excellence and innovation.

Successful candidates would possess:

  • Strong understanding of quantitative analysis methods in relation to corporate credit

  • Demonstrated track-record in applying statistical and econometric analysis in areas with low probability events

  • Intellectual curiosity, business intuition, and a drive to produce best estimates that balance confidence and uncertainty

  • Desire to remain on the leading edge of analytical technology with a passion for finding value in the newest and most innovative tools

  • Consulting experience in the financial sector

  • Excellent coding skills in Python (must-have) and/or R (good to have) with drive to create accurate, efficient, and organized code using industry best practices

  • Ability to clearly communicate modeling results and recommendations to senior leaders and maintain high standards of documentation

  • Reverence for processes, controls, governance, and infrastructure

  • Passion for collaboration, mentorship, and leading by example

Basic Qualifications:

  • Currently has, or is in the process of obtaining one of the following with an expectation that the required degree will be obtained on or before the scheduled start date:

    • A Bachelor's Degree in a quantitative field (Statistics, Economics, Operations Research, Analytics, Mathematics, Computer Science, or a related quantitative field) plus 6 years of experience performing data analytics

    • A Master's Degree in a quantitative field (Statistics, Economics, Operations Research, Analytics, Mathematics, Computer Science, or a related quantitative field) or an MBA with a quantitative concentration plus 4 years of experience performing data analytics

    • A PHD in a quantitative field (Statistics, Economics, Operations Research, Analytics, Mathematics, Computer Science, or a related quantitative field) plus 1 year of experience performing data analytics

Preferred Qualifications:

  • PhD in Statistics, Economics, Mathematics, Financial Engineering, Operations Research, Engineering, Finance, Physics or related disciplines.

  • 5+ years of experience in statistical modeling, regression analytics or machine learning.

  • 4+ years of credit risk modeling experience for commercial banks (default probability, loss given default, or exposure at default.)

  • 2+ years of experience managing a team of analysts.

Capital One will consider sponsoring a new qualified applicant for employment authorization for this position.

The minimum and maximum full-time annual salaries for this role are listed below, by location. Please note that this salary information is solely for candidates hired to perform work within one of these locations, and refers to the amount Capital One is willing to pay at the time of this posting. Salaries for part-time roles will be prorated based upon the agreed upon number of hours to be regularly worked.

McLean, VA: $197,300 - $225,100 for Manager, Quantitative Analysis











Candidates hired to work in other locations will be subject to the pay range associated with that location, and the actual annualized salary amount offered to any candidate at the time of hire will be reflected solely in the candidate’s offer letter.

This role is also eligible to earn performance based incentive compensation, which may include cash bonus(es) and/or long term incentives (LTI). Incentives could be discretionary or non discretionary depending on the plan.

Capital One offers a comprehensive, competitive, and inclusive set of health, financial and other benefits that support your total well-being. Learn more at the Capital One Careers website. Eligibility varies based on full or part-time status, exempt or non-exempt status, and management level.

This role is expected to accept applications for a minimum of 5 business days.No agencies please. Capital One is an equal opportunity employer (EOE, including disability/vet) committed to non-discrimination in compliance with applicable federal, state, and local laws. Capital One promotes a drug-free workplace. Capital One will consider for employment qualified applicants with a criminal history in a manner consistent with the requirements of applicable laws regarding criminal background inquiries, including, to the extent applicable, Article 23-A of the New York Correction Law; San Francisco, California Police Code Article 49, Sections 4901-4920; New York City’s Fair Chance Act; Philadelphia’s Fair Criminal Records Screening Act; and other applicable federal, state, and local laws and regulations regarding criminal background inquiries.

If you have visited our website in search of information on employment opportunities or to apply for a position, and you require an accommodation, please contact Capital One Recruiting at 1-800-304-9102 or via email at RecruitingAccommodation@capitalone.com. All information you provide will be kept confidential and will be used only to the extent required to provide needed reasonable accommodations.

For technical support or questions about Capital One's recruiting process, please send an email to Careers@capitalone.com

Capital One does not provide, endorse nor guarantee and is not liable for third-party products, services, educational tools or other information available through this site.

Capital One Financial is made up of several different entities. Please note that any position posted in Canada is for Capital One Canada, any position posted in the United Kingdom is for Capital One Europe and any position posted in the Philippines is for Capital One Philippines Service Corp. (COPSSC).